Monday, December 17, 2007

The Leader of the Band Steps Down




Dan Fogelberg, one of the most popular singer/songwriters of the '70s and '80s, died Sunday at home in Maine at age 56. He had battled advanced prostate cancer since being diagnosed in 2004. The most apt summation of his life's work likely comes from Fogelberg himself, when he said, as quoted in his online biography, "You've got to just follow your heart and do your best work … There is no doubt in my mind or heart that everything I've done is exactly what I intended to do."



http://www.usatoday.com/life/music/news/2007-12-16-fogelberg-obit_N.htm?csp=34

http://danfogelberg.com/news.html

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Shopping in 1999 A.D. [video from the '60s]



Year 1999 A.D.


Video clip shows a mid-1960s imagining of what technology would be like in the year 1999.

This is a clip of online shopping as envisioned from the 1960's, called "Shopping in 1999 A.D.".

The video shows online bill paying and PC desktops with flat screen monitors, including a multi-screen display.

Origins: Many visionaries who tried to forecast what daily life
would be like for future generations made the mistake of simply projecting existing technologies as being bigger, faster, and more powerful. They often failed to anticipate that future technologies might take very different forms, might be put to previously unconsidered uses, and might accompany (or even help bring about) significant social changes.

The video clip shown above — an excerpt from a 1967 Philco-Ford production entitled "Year 1999 A.D.," starring a young Wink Martindale — did a fairly good job of anticipating some ways (if not the specific forms) in which technology might be used in daily life more than three decades in the future. Concepts such as "fingertip shopping," an "electronic correspondence machine," and others envisioned in this video anticipate several innovations that became commonplace within a few years of 1999: e-commerce, webcams, online bill payment and tax filing, electronic funds transfers (EFT), home-based laser printers, and e-mail.

As noted, although the technological concepts expressed in the video may be familiar to us, the specific forms used to realize them are somewhat different than their common modern implementations:

* The "fingertip shopping" the wife engages in imagines the shopper remotely controlling cameras placed in stores to scan merchandise rather than working with virtual representations of stores (i.e., web sites).

* The "household monitor screen" isn't so much a webcam as it is a simple closed-circuit video security system.

* The bills and tax forms the husband works with are scanned images of paper forms rather than electronic forms.

* The "electronic correspondence machine" (e-mail) depends on the user's writing messages by hand with a pen and a stylus rather than typing them with a keyboard and monitor.

The concepts are nonetheless relatively well-expressed, even if they don't quite match up with some of the finer points of modern technologies. However, the video exemplifies the common flaw of anticipating technological changes but not societal changes — the daily life it depicts is firmly rooted in the mid-20th century American model of women as stay-at-home child rearers and shoppers, and men as breadwinners and heads of household. Apparently women in 1999 still wouldn't be deemed to be up to handling tasks such as banking, bill-paying, and tax preparation, even with the help of electronic devices.

Last updated: 5 December 2007

The URL for this page is http://www.snopes.com/photos/technology/year1999.asp